November is BCS argument monthPublished 11:25am Friday, November 8, 2013
So what are we waiting for? It’s time to kick it in gear and start the controversy process.
Alabama’s best non-conference win came against an unranked Virginia Tech team that is coming off losses to unranked Duke and Boston College. Alabama had to add Georgia State and Chattanooga amongst the prey for fear of becoming worn out with their daunting SEC schedule.
Oregon played Nicholls State, Virginia and a terrible Tennessee.
Florida State signed up Nevada and Bethune Cookman. They thought the Florida Gators (4-4) would be a test at season’s end, but Florida has become just another average Southeastern Conference team.
Ohio State pulled an SEC trick and got together with the likes of Buffalo, San Diego State, Florida A&M and a pathetic California from the Pac-12. Baylor scheduled Wofford, Buffalo, and Louisiana – Monroe. (I’m assuming Louisiana Madison must have been busy).
All five top undefeated teams represent five major BCS conferences and all can go undefeated.
Forget out-of-conference play – it’s who you play in conference that will determine the two teams playing in the BCS title game.
There is a vast amount of evidence, well beyond the eyeball test, that the SEC and the PAC-12 are the best conferences.
Jeff Sagarin runs one of the six computer systems used in the BCS formula, but he also rates each conference by divisions.
Sagarin’s top division is the SEC West, followed by the PAC-12 North, PAC-12 South and the SEC East – a clean sweep.
The strength of schedule shows Alabama‘s opponents with a combined regular-season record of 18-7, not counting Chattanooga.
Oregon’s regular – season PAC-12 opponents are 23-10. Crazy things can and most likely will happen and this could begin tonight with No. 3 Oregon visiting No. 5 Stanford.
Is No. 6 Baylor for real? We will find out tonight when they host No. 10 Oklahoma. The only way FSU can get into the BCS title game is if either Alabama or Oregon stumble.
Predictions: The Ducks have too many offensive weapons but their defense may be the difference.
Besides being ranked No. 2 in the nation in offense, the defense is holding its own, sitting at No. 7 in the nation. The Ducks are also healthy again with scat back De’Anthony Thomas 100 percent.
On the flipside, Stanford is really banged up on defense. The Cardinal will welcome back defensive end Henry Anderson but they lost their best pass-rusher in Ben Gardner. Oregon only allows 3.41 yards per carry on the ground and their opponents only convert 33 percent of their third down attempts, both top twenty rankings.
Stanford allows almost 20 points a game and they score an average of 32.6 points a game. Prediction: Oregon by 20.
Baylor put up 73 on West Virginia while Oklahoma squeezed out a 16-7 win against the Mountaineers. Hello!
Baylor only allows 16 points per game, while Oklahoma averages 31 points a game, which is No. 56 in the nation. The Bears have scored over 50 points in six out of seven games.
Make that seven out of eight – Bears win big over the Sooners.
No. 13 LSU comes into Tuscaloosa Saturday evening and will face No. 1 Alabama. You know, Alabama who has won the last two national championships and three out of the past four? Yeah, that Alabama, who if you looked at their statistics on offense, you would suggest that the numbers are pedestrian at best.
Alabama’s offense consists of these numbers: It’s passing offense is ranked No. 51 in the country, and its rush offense is ranked No. 26.
Here is the deal: you must score to win and Alabama’s opponents have a difficult time even crossing into Crimson Tide territory. Alabama has played eight games so far and their opponents have scored 78 points. Take away the 42 scored by Texas A&M and you have seven teams scoring a combined 38 points.
I know LSU is better balanced on offense with quarterback Zack Mettenberger. I also know LSU lost to Georgia and Mississippi by field goals. Here is a news flash for the LSU faithful.
There’s a kid who quarterbacks for Alabama named AJ McCarron and by the way, all he does is win. Prediction: LSU goes home tired, beat up and with their third loss.
Until next time …
Meyers is a sports columnist for The Outlook. You can follow him on Twitter at @brucemeyers11.